Invicta is back on January 18th, 2023 with an eight fight card, and Betonline.ag and other MMA betting sites have money line odds. The Invicta 51 odds offer several parlay additions and some possible upsets, with two title fights on the line and the return of promising grappling superstar Fatima Kline.
Invicta 51 Predictions
Each pick is a money line, as no prop bets will be available by Wednesday. Expect odds to hold stable the last few days, as some money lines like Auttumn Norton -140 have already moved 70 points.
- Fatima Kline -400
- Olga Rubin +175
- Marisa Messer-Belenchia +150
- Kristina Williams +130
- Taneisha Tennant -112
- Auttumn Norton -140
- Katie Saull -110
- Tanya Nijjar -350
We’re calling for three underdogs to win, including a title upset for former pro boxer Williams at +130.
Invicta 51 Odds for Parlay Picks
Tennant and Kline are the obvious picks for parlay of this card. Bet them as an Invicta FC 51 odds parlay, or add them to the UFC 283 parlays. Together, they pay +136, winnings of $1.36 per $1 wager.
Talita Bernardo -118 vs Taneisha Tennant -112
The bantamweight title is on the line, as Tennant defends against Bernardo, a submission fighter on a three fight winning streak. Bernardo was in the UFC in 2017-2019, going 1-3 for the promotion. She’s undefeated since being cut, and lost to names like Irene Aldana and Marion Reneau.
Look at @TaneishaTennant going to WORK 🚧
[ Live NOW on #ESPNPlus ] pic.twitter.com/FzTm0ambhu
— UFC (@ufc) September 16, 2020
Tennant’s karate style striking is fantastic for decision wins, and her one career loss to Danyelle Wolf at DWCS was a sheer robbery, outlanding Wolf 85 to 51. Tennant is underrated, with fantastic grappling defense. She’ll crush Bernardo, and after a few more defenses get a call and apology from the UFC.
Fatima Kline -400 vs Laura Gallardo +300
At 22, Fatima has competed in ADCC trials, nearly getting to ADCC on her first attempt. She finished both of her opponents to date, and has been finishing serious competitors like Erin Herle since she was 18. Gallardo of Kings MMA went 1-1 at TUF 30. She’s primarily a decision fighter, but it’s clear her grappling acumen is lower than Kline’s. We’re considering this more of a value bet, or a parlay pick you might add onto Gilbert Burns -400 for a bigger return.
Invicta 51 Upsets and Value Bets
These bouts include our three upset picks, but also value bets like Katie Saull, a -110 that we nearly included in our parlay selection.
Olga Rubin +175 vs Serena Dejesus -215
Fighting out of Xtreme Couture, Serena is on a four fight winning streak with a combined opponent record of 19-17 at the time of competition. The underdog is on a crushing losing streak to some of the sport’s best, including Tennant, Kavanagh and Julia Budd of Bellator.
🐺 Who's afraid of the 'Big Bad' wolf?
It was an impressive showing from Olga Rubin at Bellator 188.
Who do you want to see her fight next? pic.twitter.com/jbfizCoJYE
— Bellator Europe (@Bellator_Europe) July 11, 2020
However, Rubin beat Priscilla de Souza (12-9) and Iony Razaflarison (6-1) giving her a combined opponent record of 40-13 in her last three wins alone. Rubin is vastly underrated, and her split decision loss to Tennant could have easily gone her way. Dejesus isn’t used to this level of competition, and was smashed by Tennant in 2019. Bet the upset, and for Rubin to find a home at Bellator.
Elisandra Ferreira -180 vs Marisa Messer-Belenchia +150
Ferreira is an Invicta FC newcomer and a 4-2 pro. Her biggest win was over Maria Ribeiro (5-4) and she was 0-2 as an amateur. 5-1 underdog Messer-Belenchia was 1-1 on the Invicta on AXS reality show, and has only been defeated by Jessica Delboni and Linda Mihalec. Marisa has more overall experience, but a lower career finishing rate. Ferreira’s submission work is supposed to be superior, but we see Marisa using experience to win the decision. Bet the upset, and expect a long fight from Marisa, who’s time in pro boxing puts her leagues above Elisandra while standing.
Ketlen Souza -160 vs Kristina Williams +130
Souza has been struggling to get opponent’s, and her four fight winning streak features multiple fighters with one win or less. Williams is a 6-3 fighter from Oklahoma who’s 3-3 Bellator run included a split win over Emily Ducote.Williams has never backed down from a challenge, facing off with powerhouses like Velasquez and Kielholtz. This is easily the biggest test of Souza’s career, but just another day in the office for Williams. We’re expecting the upset for Williams. Souza’s 12-3 record has many finishes, but most of them are over fighters with less than 2 wins or a losing record. Williams has more fights and fewer losses than nearly all of Souza’s opponents, win or lose.
Auttumn Norton -140 vs Claire Guthrie +110
Guthrie is from Elevation, the same school that brought us Nate Marquardt and other high level notables. She’s technically on a 3 fight winning streak in spite of a loss to Juliana Miller at TUF 30. Norton is a KO artist to the core, and few women hit this hard at bantamweight. We’re betting the Norton money line, if only because we feel Guthrie struggles with nerves, botching the majority of her steps up in competition.
Katie Saull -110 vs Rayanne Amanda -120
At 35, Saull is late to the game, and her 5-5 record includes only one win over a fighter with a winning record, 1-0 Tamika Jones. Amanda is 12-6, eight years younger, but has fought almost no serious fighters aside from Lindsay Garbatt. Of her last five wins, only one had a professional win at all. We took a long look at the fight tape, and it’s clear that Saull is up to her level, if not beyond it. We’re betting Saull gets the biggest win of her career, and Amanda goes back to padding her record.
Sayury Canon +275 vs Tanya Nijjar -350
The undefeated Nijjar had a 3-0 amateur run with two finishes. She’s had five canceled bouts since 2016, and has been the featherweight to dodge in Canada. Canon is also undefeated, fighting out the local Columbia scene. Fight tape for Nijjar is impressive, while Canon is nearly incognito. We’re betting on Nijjar, but without at least seeing Canon we can’t advise a parlay.
