The first four weeks of the 2023-24 NFL regular season have been filled with an assortment of surprises. Survivor pool entries are likely finished, as we’ve seen some pretty big underdogs cash in on lofty moneyline prices. However, Week 4 was a return to normalcy with a fairly chalky Sunday occurred.
Favorites covered the spread in eight of 14 overall contests, and won eleven contests outright. Will that continue as we enter Week 5 of NFL action?
We’ll have to wait and see. But as teams get more reps and familiarity with their specific units and tactics, we should start to figure out what teams are pretenders and who can be deemed contenders as we enter the halfway mark.
There are a couple of trends to especially take note of as we approach another loaded slate. Night games have fallen short of the primetime billing and points have been at a premium. In these scenarios, night games are 11-2 to the under, and are now 51-24 since the start of last season.
The other intriguing trend to note deals with NFL games overseas. Since the London series began, favorites in these matchups tend to dominate. To date, they are 29-9 straight-up, and 25-14 against the number.
Before heading over to the best NFL betting sites, make sure to check out key NFL betting trends for the Week 5 matchups. These trends could help you craft a more successful NFL betting strategy this weekend.
Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Commanders have gone Under in 20 of their last 25 home games
- Chicago has won just one of their past nine games played in October
- Chicago is 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games against Washington
- The Total has gone over in 12 of Chicago’s last 15 games
- Washington is 4-1 against the number in their last five games played in October
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Week 5 Trends
- Jacksonville is 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games
- The Total has gone under in four of Jacksonville’s last six games against an opponent in the AFC East
- Jacksonville is 1-6 in their last seven games played in October
- Sixteen of the Bills’ last 22 games have gone over the 1st quarter total
- The total has gone over in six of Buffalo’s last eight games against Jacksonville
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 5 Trends
- Baltimore has covered in four of their past five road contests
- The Total has gone under in fourteen of Baltimore’s last 19 games
- Baltimore has lost five of their past six games against Baltimore
- The Ravens have covered five of their past six overall games
- The Total has gone under in ten of Pittsburgh’s last 14 games at home
- The Total has gone under in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven contests
Carolina Panthers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Week 5 Trends
- Carolina has covered four of their previous five games against the Lions
- The Lions are 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 games
- The Total has gone under in six of Carolina’s last eight games played in October
- Carolina has won eight of their past ten games against Detroit
- Detroit has lost nine straight games in the month of October
- Detroit is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games at home
Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 5 Trends
- Houston is 2-10 in their last 12 games played in October
- Houston has covered the spread in six of their past nine road games
- Atlanta is 4-11 against the spread in their last 15 games
- Atlanta has gone under in 10 of its last 13 games
- The Total has gone under in four of Atlanta’s last five games against an opponent in the AFC South
- The Total has gone under in five of Atlanta’s last seven games played in October
New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 5 Trends
- New Orleans has failed to cover the spread in five straight contests
- New Orleans has gone under in five straight road games
- New England has covered just one time from their past eight outings
- New England has won their past eight Week 5 games
- The Saints have gone Under in 13 of their last 14 games
New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Giants are 6-13 in their last 19 games on the road
- The Giants have covered just two times from their past six games
- Miami has won 13 of their previous 15 home games
- The Giants have been outscored 77-9 in the first half of games this season
- Miami is 1-8-1 against the spread in their last ten games played in October
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Titans have hit the 4th quarter under in 15 of their last 17 games
- Tennessee has covered in five straight contests against the Colts
- The Total has gone under in seven of Tennessee’s last eight games
- Indianapolis is 2-9 straight up in their last 11 games
- Indianapolis is 1-5 against the spread in their last six games when playing at home against Tennessee
- The Total has gone over in five of the past six Colts’ games
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Total has gone under in six of Cincinnati’s last seven games played in Week 5
- Cincinnati has won just one game in their past five outings
- The Total has gone over in four of Arizona’s last five games
- The Cardinals have scored last in just two of their last 17 games
- Arizona is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games
- The Total has gone over in four of Arizona’s last five games
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Total has gone over in four of Philadelphia’s last five games
- Philadelphia is 7-1 straight up in their last eight outings
- Philadelphia has won nine of their past ten road games
- The Total has gone over in five of the Rams’ last six games at home
- The Rams are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a home underdog
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Week 5 Trends
- Kansas City has won eleven of their past 12 games
- Kansas City is 2-4 in their last six games when playing on the road against Minnesota
- Eleven of the last 15 Vikings’ home games went over
- Minnesota is 2-7-1 against the spread in their last 10 games
- The Total has gone over in eight of Minnesota’s last 12 games
- The Total has gone under in five of Minnesota’s last six games played in Week 5
New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Broncos are 3-14-1 against the spread in their last 18 games as a favourite
- The Jets have lost six straight road games
- The Jets have covered just twice from their past eight outings
- Denver is 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games
- The Total has gone over in eight of Denver’s last nine matches
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Cowboys are 6-3 against the spread in their past nine outings
- Dallas is 10-4 in their last 14 games
- The 49ers have won 12 of their last 17 home games by 15 or more points
- The Total has gone under in five of Dallas’ last six games on the road
- The Total has gone under in six of Dallas’ last eight games
Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Week 5 Trends
- The Packers are 14-5 against the number after a loss since the start of the 2019 season
- Green Bay is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games
- Green Bay is 8-0 in their last 8 games against Las Vegas
- The Total has gone over in four of Green Bay’s last five games on the road
- The Total has gone over in six of Las Vegas’ last six games against Green Bay
The Best TSG A.I. Trends For Week 5
The Sport Geek’s A.I. model lists the following teams with the highest confidence of covering their respective NFL wagers:
Best ATS Bet: The Cincinnati Bengals have a 67% chance to cover the three-point spread.
Best Over/Under Bet: The Kansas City Chiefs and Minnesota Vikings have a 70% chance of going Over 53 points.
Best Moneyline Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (-210) have a 76% chance of winning outright against the Rams (+175).
The Best Football Betting Site To Wager On NFL Betting Trends
Now that you have examined the key NFL betting trends of the week, along with checking out our expert Week 5 predictions and The Sports Geek’s A.I. NFL picks, it’s time to put that information to work.
We recommend heading over to BetUS to place your NFL wagers as they’re our go-to football betting site.
Currently, “America’s Favorite Sportsbook” is offering 30 risk-free bets when you join. Additionally, they have an exciting sports betting bonus of $450 dollars for those first-time depositors.
And, if that weren’t enough to get NFL bettors excited, BetUS also has a promotion where they’re giving away a brand-new Chevy truck and a 125% matching bonus on all qualifying first-time deposits.
