Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-16-21

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By Jason Gray in Baseball —
19 Min. Read

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-16-21We hit yesterday smoking hot, as we picked up over $2,100 worth of winning parlays on Monday, and we were poised to have back-to-back big days yesterday. And while we came up short of another monster day, it didn’t have to be that way, as we were oh so close to another day packed full of jumbo payouts. We finished the day by going 7-6 overall and picked up winners on the Mariners (+114) and Tigers (+123) as underdogs as well as the Athletics (-122), Mets (-143), White Sox (-113), and the Dodgers on the run line (+112). Those winning bets, along with some totals wins, were more than enough to keep us in the black for the day, with several dog money plays coming in, but as I wake up this morning, I think about what could have been if things broke our way late in a couple of key spots yesterday.

Of our 6 losses yesterday, several of them were heartbreakers. We missed out on a $1,275 payout when we went 3/4 on our get rich or die trying parlay, when the Atlanta Brave lost to the Boston Red Sox. That game was tied up in the 8th inning before seeing Boston score late to take the game. We also were just 1 winner away from cashing our daily dog parlay, which would have paid us a juicy $955. That one came up short as the Miami Marlins blew an early lead and got walked off on in the 9th inning to lose 2-1. We ran bad late in several games, with the Blue Jays blowing a 5-2 lead against New York and the Brewers losing in the 10th inning to the Cincinnati Reds. Those losses were all painful, but the most painful loss of the day came to us from Houston, where we were on the under 8.5 runs in their game with the Texas Rangers.

In baseball, each team gets 27 outs to play with. That is 54 total outs in a regulation length MLB game. Yesterday, with 53 of those outs in the books, our bet was looking like a lock, as the game was 2-1 Texas in the bottom of the 9th and 2 outs. Carlos Correa tied the game up with a dramatic home run to send the game into extra innings, and with the new extra innings rules, I knew we were going to sweat it out. After the Rangers took the lead in the top of the frame, the Astros quickly loaded up the bases with nobody out in the bottom of the 10th. Luckily for us, the only way that Houston would be able to score enough runs to push this game to the over would be if they hit a home run, as the game would be stopped at 4-3 with anything besides a grand slam home run. But, as fate would have it, Jose Altuve decided to punish us in the most painful way imaginable, blasting a walk-off homer to give Houston a 6-3 victory and spoil our bet by half of a run. What can you do, we were tracking to have a big day, and things turned sour late, and we took a couple of bad beats. Today, we will shake off that run bad, and get right back at it, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

New York Yankees (-165) at Toronto Blue Jays

The big question today for New York is whether or not Gerrit Cole decides to use a sticky substance on the ball today. Cole has been the focal point of baseball’s recent ban on using sticky substances, and this will be the final start of Cole’s career where he will be allowed to doctor the baseball with a foreign substance. For years we have heard people questioning if the ball was juiced or not, turns out it wasn’t, it was just the players, but I guess the real culprit behind this recent rise in pitching dominance is sticky stuff? I never realized how big of an uproar this would cause, and pitchers are all of the sudden going crazy now that they don’t get to cheat. Tyler Glasnow even went as far as to blame his blown-out elbow on his inability to continue cheating.

Sticky stuff is the headline of the day for most of the media, but for me, I just want to get a chance to ride Gerrit Cole one last time before they ban whatever it is he has been coating the ball with, as he seems to think it is going to have a disastrous effect on pitcher’s ability to grip the baseball. Cole has had a couple of rough outings this season, but he is still very much the ace of this Yankees rotation, and he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 11 of his 13 starts this season. Ross Stripling is pitching better now than he was earlier this season, but this is still a major mismatch on the mound. Normally Cole is laying (-200) or more in a game, so I will take advantage of this discount and back the Bronx Bombers. Don’t be shocked if Cole goes for broke today and pulls a Catfish Hunter and greases down the baseball with all sorts of concoctions today, as he knows the end is near when it comes to baseball manipulation.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-148)

We took the Dodgers on the run line yesterday and cashed a nice dog money ticket. That bet was both a showing of confidence in the Dodgers at home, where they have been excellent this season, and a fade of the Phillies on the road, where they have been awful. All of those things are still true today, as the Dodgers look for the sweep in the series finale of this 3-game set. Clayton Kershaw isn’t the same guy that he has been for the last decade for the Boys in Blue, as old age and injuries have finally caught up to the future Hall of Famer, but he can still shut a team down if he is at his best. We saw that in his last home start, when he worked 6 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing just a single unearned run on only 3 hits.

Zack Wheeler has been remarkably good at home, but on the road, he has been just ok. Wheeler’s 3.38 road ERA is certainly nothing to scoff at, but it pales in comparison to what he has been able to do in Philly, where he is 3-1 with a 1.70 ERA. Despite his stellar results, the Phillies are just 7-6 when Wheeler starts. It wasn’t all that long ago that the books were charging you exorbitant prices to back the Dodgers at home in LA with Clayton Kershaw pitching. But now, the books have cooled down on that quite a bit, and we can take LA at what seems to be a more than reasonable price. This bet boils down to the fact that the Dodgers are one of the best home teams in the National League, and the Phillies are terrible on the road. Give me the Dodgers today as home favorites.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (-167)

The Cleveland Indians are heating back up, as they have won 8 of their last 12 games, including each of the first 2 games of this series with the Baltimore Orioles. Aaron Civale deserves plenty of the credit for the Indian’s success this season, as his 9 wins are tied for the most in all of baseball. Civale has been particularly sharp at home, where he is 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA. Civale is coming off of his best outing of the season in his last start, where he worked 8 shutout innings against the Seattle Mariners, holding the M’s to just 1 hit, while punching out 11.

The Orioles are the worst team in the American League right now. They say you are what your record is, and that tells me that Baltimore is the worst of the worst in the AL. The O’s have the worst run differential in the league as well, at an embarrassing -75, and in many of their games, they are just trying to stay competitive and not get blown out. This game is one of those low hanging fruit spots where you have to lay a little wood and pick up an easy winner. Civale is looking like an All-Star, and against Baltimore starter Keegan Akin, a rookie with fewer than 50 Big League innings under his belt, this game could get ugly. It’s not overly sexy, but free money is free money, and I don’t have any problem with easy winners.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • New York Yankees -165
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -148
  • Cleveland Indians -167

$100 Bet Pays $431

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Over 12 runs (-110)

This is an all-time classic play, and stop me if you have heard this before, but I am taking the over tonight at Coors Field! The sharp in me sees a total of 12 runs and laughs, but then when I dig deeper into this game, I realize that both of these teams could score 12 runs on their own tonight in what is almost certainly going to be an epic slugfest! Blake Snell has been a joke on the road, with an ERA approaching double digits, and Kyle Freeland has gotten smashed for 14 runs in his last 2 starts combined. After a lower scoring game 1, these teams broke out the bats yesterday to score 12 runs on 19 hits, and I see today’s game being even higher scoring than last night’s affair! More to come on this game later, but I am going over in this one.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs (-110)

We already talked about the painful beat we took last night when Jose Altuve hit a grand slam in the bottom of the 10th inning to ruin our play on the under. And today, I have decided if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em! Jordan Lyles always gives up at least a couple of runs, and against Houston earlier this year, he gave up 4 earned runs against the hard-hitting ‘Stros. And surprisingly enough, Zack Greinke has actually been significantly better on the road than he has been at home so far in 2021. Opposing teams are hitting .299 against Greinke at Minute Maid Park, and with the Houston bats scoring a bunch of runs recently, this game feels like it sails to the over with little sweat. Houston has scored at least 6 runs in 8 of their last 10 games, and if they can plate 6 today, Greinke and the Houston bullpen should be enough to ensure this game goes over.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics Over 9 Runs (-110)

I know I might sound like a broken record here, as I seemingly make a play on the over in the Angels games on a daily basis. Angel’s games have gone over at a 60% clip, 4th best in the Major Leagues, so if all you are doing is blind betting the over every time they play, you are doing pretty well for yourself. We took the over last night, and the ticket came in, as the teams combined for 10 total runs. I see a similar game tonight, as these teams have already combined to score a whopping 23 runs in the first 2 games of this series, and with Oakland averaging almost 8 runs per game in their last 4 games, they should do most of the heavy lifting to get this over bet in.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Over 12 runs -110
  • Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs -110
  • Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants -1.5 Runs (+132)

I told you yesterday that I have been playing with fire a lot recently, as I have been taking quite a few home teams on the run line. But despite playing with fire a lot in the last couple of weeks, I have managed to not get burned, and my ROI on home teams on the run line has been outrageously good. This game is a dream for a run line bet, as the Giants are crushing teams, with the 2nd best run differential in the NL, and the DBacks are dismal on the road. No team in the majors has more losses on the road than the DBacks, and they make getting beaten by multiple runs a regular occurrence. Anthony DeSclafani has been light’s out this year, with a 3.09 ERA, and in reality, if you pull out his 1 bad start against the Dodgers last month, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any start. DeSclafani will dominate and the Giants will win this game going away.

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners (+117)

When will the books ever learn? Somehow, despite the fact that the Twins are dreadfully bad and are sitting in dead last place in the AL Central Division, the books are still pricing them as favorites consistently. Minnesota has been favored in both of these games against Seattle, and the Mariners have taken both games. We backed Seattle in both of those games and got paid, and we will do that again today, as Seattle has been the best home underdog team in the majors this season. The Twins will start rookie Bailey Ober, who has pitched just 13 innings and has an ERA approaching 5 runs in his Major League career. Justus Sheffield hasn’t been super consistent this season, but at home, he has been solid with a 3.58 ERA, and Seattle hasn’t lost when he pitches in Seattle since his 1st start of the season. Wash, rinse, and repeat, give me the Mariners as home dogs as this is a laughably bad line.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • San Francisco Giants -1.5 Runs +132
  • Seattle Mariners +117

$100 Bet Pays $504

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (+170)

I don’t know who out there needs to hear this, but the Colorado Rockies are an elite home team. The Rockies are 22-14 at Coors Field, and those 22 wins are more than any other National League team besides the Dodgers and the Cubs. The Rockies are looking for the sweep tonight at home, against a Padres team that is supremely talented and great at home, but is just 17-17 on the road. Blake Snell has been almost unbelievably bad on the road, with an ERA of 9.24 ERA, and in his 7 road starts, the Padres are 0-7. The Padres are probably going to win this game, but this price is one of the worst I have seen all season long. Colorado is great at home, the Padres are mediocre on the road, and the Padres laying -200 is laughable. Let’s hope the variance breaks our way in this one.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals (-167)

This bet is a straight fade of the Pittsburgh Pirates on the road. Pittsburgh is 10-24 away from home, and Washington is actually kinda sorta decent at home. Pirates starter Chase De Jong has bounced around the show since 2017, with stops in Seattle, Minnesota, Houston, and now Pittsburgh. Despite all of those opportunities, he has worked just 69 total innings. He has a lifetime record of 1-5 with a 6.62 ERA. I will bet against the Pirates and journeyman starter Chase De Jong in this one, even if I don’t love having to back the Nationals.

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets -1.5 Runs (-118)

Jacob deGrom is pitching at a level we have never seen before. His ERA of 0.56 is insane, and he hasn’t allowed more than 1 earned run in any start this year. In his last 3 starts, he has worked 19 innings and hasn’t allowed a single run while striking out 29. The Cubs must realize that they have no shot in this game, as they decided to start 31-year-old career reliever Robert Stock. Stock hasn’t pitched yet in 2021, and he has never made a Big League start. This is the definition of a mismatch on the mound, and it’s feeling a lot like the Cubs are giving up before a pitch is even thrown, with Robert Stock getting fed to the wolves. I’ll lay the run and a half in this one, as the Cubs aren’t even going to try and compete tonight in the Big Apple.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves (-160)

I am breaking my own rule here. As a general rule, if I get the chance to back the Boston Red Sox as underdogs, I have taken advantage of it. Boston has been too good on the road to not want to be on their side, but something tells me that the Braves are going to win this game today at home. Ian Anderson is one of my favorite young starting pitchers, and he has done a fantastic job of getting deep into games and giving his team a chance to win games.

On the year, Anderson has worked into the 6th inning or later and given up 1 earned run or less 5 times. It is a little more wood than I would normally like to lay on a game, but I do strongly feel that the Braves are going to win this game. Garret Richards hasn’t had a winning decision in over a month, and he seems to be wearing down, as his results have started to trail off in the last couple of weeks. After last night’s crazy game, I think we will see a bit of a letdown game tonight, where the Braves take it behind a strong outing from Ian Anderson.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-124)

Our final bet of the day comes to us from Oakland, as I will fade the Angels for the 3rd straight day. Earlier this week, I noted that the Angels hot streak earlier this month was a bit fraudulent, as they just had a particularly soft spot in the schedule. Now that the Halos are playing a good team, they haven’t had nearly as much success, as they lost both of these games by multiple runs. Oakland starter Cole Irvin struggled to finish out the month of May, but here in June, he has things turned back around, as he has made 2 starts, and has worked a combined 12 innings, and has allowed just 2 earned runs.

Griffin Canning hasn’t made many road starts, but what he has done away from home, hasn’t been very good. Canning has a road ERA north of 5 runs, and the Angels have lost 3 of his last 4 road starts. LA has been bad on the road as underdogs at 7-12, and after seeing them get spanked in this series by the A’s, I can only expect for that trend to continue. Oakland picks up the sweep today, as they continue to find a way to win games.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Colorado Rockies +170
  • Washington Nationals -167
  • New York Mets -1.5 Runs -118
  • Atlanta Braves -160
  • Oakland Athletics -124

$100 Bet Pays $2,342

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray

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Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for almost 20 years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Currently, Gray has transitioned out of gaming management to casino operations. One day, he may just own a casino. Jason has been with TheSportsGeek for over six years and loves to share his insider experiences and in-depth knowledge through his casino and sports betting content.

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