Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-25-21

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By Jason Gray in Baseball —
20 Min. Read

Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 6-25-21We managed to grind out a winning day yesterday, despite just missing on multiple parlay bets. We went 2/3 on 3 different parlays, getting oh so close to a jumbo payout, and coming up just short. But as always, we also make our plays straight up as well, and we finished with a winning overall record, including a juicy dog money winner. Yesterday wins came on the Astros run line (-139), Pirates (+133), Athletics (-137), Blue Jays (-182), Athletics/Rangers under 8, and Pirates/Cardinals over 8.5.

We had a real shot at cashing in on a couple of those parlays as both the Red Sox/Rays and Indians/Twins games were tied heading into the 8th inning, and we ran bad late to lose both bets. Our totals parlay probably should have come in, as the only missing piece was the over 10.5 runs in the Blue Jays/Orioles game that was looking like a lock after the teams combined for 9 runs in the first 3 innings of play. But alas, both teams seemed content with just going through the motions the rest of the way out, and we never plated another run after the hot start. It seems that every day we hit a big winner, or we are right on the cusp of greatness, and today we will get right back at it, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays (-155)

It would seem that the Rays season-high 7-game losing streak is behind them at this point, as Tampa Bay managed to take each of the last 2 games of their last series against the Boston Red Sox, and with the wins, the Rays are now in sole possession of 1st place in the AL East Division. Tampa Bay will look to stay on track today, as they welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town for a 3-game set. Andrew Kittredge is listed as the starter in this game, but he is going to be used as an opener and will likely only pitch the 1st inning before turning things over to Josh Fleming. Kittredge has been fantastic this year in the opener role, and while Fleming has had some ups and downs this season, he has done his best work at home, with a 2.18 ERA at Tropicana Field.

The Angels will answer with Griffin Canning on the mound today, hoping that he can stop the bleeding on this 3-game losing streak for LA. The Angels have lost 6 of their last 9 games, and despite having one of the more effective lineups in the American League, wins have been hard to come by as the pitching just hasn’t been very good. Only the Twins and Orioles have a worse team ERA than the Angels do, and it has been driven by a bad bullpen that is 14th worst in the league. The Angels have done an admirable job of staying on the fringe of contention without Mike Trout, but this just isn’t a team that is going to be in the playoff conversation, and I expect to see them sell at the trade deadline. 3 of the next 4 series for LA come against the Rays, Yankees, and Red Sox, and I don’t see them having a lot of success, which will force management’s hand to unload payroll before the trade deadline next month. Those struggles start today, as the Rays are just going to be too much for them at home. The Angels have lost 4 of Griffin Canning’s last 5 road starts, and I see another loss coming tonight on the road.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds (-129)

I really like Red’s young starter Vladimir Guiterrez. The 25-year-old Cuban made his Big League debut earlier this season for Cincinnati, and he has shown that he absolutely can pitch on this level. He got a little roughed up in his last outing, but that was on the road against the San Diego Padres, and just about nobody has success in Slam Diego, so I am going to give him a pass on that one. Prior to that outing, Gutierrez was 3-1 with a 2.74 ERA. Reds fans are excited to see this kid pitch at home, as he has made just 1 home start so far in his short MLB career, but he was excellent, working 7 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers and holding them to just 2 earned runs and picking up the win for his efforts.

Drew Smyly has been all over the place this year for the Braves, but he has pitched fairly well this month, with winning decisions in each of his last 2 starts. But even with this recent turnaround, the Braves are still just 5-7 when Smyly starts this season. Coming into this season, just about everyone would have agreed that the Braves roster was far superior to the Reds. But right now, it is the Reds that have the winning record, and the Braves are closer to last place in the NL East Division than they are to 1st with a 35-39 record. Logic tells me that eventually, these teams will flip flop, and the Braves will get back into real playoff contention, and the Reds will fade, but if guys like Vladimir Gutierrez keep stepping up for Cincinnati, who knows what this team can do. The Reds got swept in San Diego last week, but besides that tough spot, Cincinnati is 13-4 this month, so they are playing really good baseball. The Reds took game 1 of this series last night, and I see them taking game 2 tonight at home as well, powered by a solid outing from Vlad Gutierrez.

Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants (-106)

This is a tough game to have a strong opinion on. Both of these teams are overachieving this season, as the Giants lead all of Major League Baseball in wins, and the Athletics are 2nd in the American League in wins, despite neither team having heavy expectations coming into this season. But what separates the Giants from the A’s, in my opinion, is the G-Men’s ability to win games at Oracle Park. The Giants are 24-10 at home this season, good for a .705 winning percentage, 2nd best in the NL. That’s not to say that Oakland can’t win on the road, they actually had the best road record in the AL prior to this current road trip, but this rodie hasn’t gone their way, as the A’s have lost 4 of their last 6 games.

Johnny Cueto isn’t posting the eye-popping numbers like some of the Giants starters like Kevin Gausman and Anthony DeSclafani, but he is having a solid season for a 35-year-old veteran. Just like the rest of this Giants team, Cueto is better at home than on the road, and his 4-2 record and 3.38 ERA at home, is impressive. Sean Manaea has had a couple of rough starts sprinkled in this season, but for the most part, this guy has been great for Oakland. I have always felt that Manaea doesn’t get the credit that he deserves for being a reliable starter for the A’s over the years, and he has held opposing teams to 1 earned run or fewer in 5 of his last 6 starts.

I went back and forth on this game a couple of times, but at the end of the day, I just couldn’t resist backing the team with the best record in baseball as home underdogs. The books are refusing to acknowledge that the Giants are an elite team, and we can find spots like this one, where they are undervalued, on a regular basis. The Giants have won 8 of their last 9 games overall and 9 of their last 11 at Oracle Park, and I will back them today as small home dogs against an Athletics team stumbling through their worst road trip of the year.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Tampa Bay Rays -155
  • Cincinnati Reds -129
  • San Francisco Giants -106

$100 Bet Pays $568

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox Under 7.5 Runs (-110)

Carlos Rodon and Yusei Kikuchi aren’t household names at this point in their careers, but that doesn’t mean that they aren’t a couple of the best pitchers in the American League right now. Rodon has been stupid good, as he has a 1.83 ERA and threw his first-ever no-hitter earlier this season. He has been even better here in the month of June, with a 1.42 ERA. A lot of people laughed at the Seattle Mariners when they signed Yusei Kikuchi to an enormous free agent deal prior to last season, but it is Seattle that is getting the last laugh, as Kikuchi is emerging as a top of the rotation type of guy for the M’s. Kikuchi has allowed just a single earned run in his last 2 starts combined, spanning 14 innings, and he has had a quality start in 8 of his last 9 outings and 10 of his 13 starts in 2021.

This low total tells me that the books realize how strong of a pitching matchup we have on our hands, and the last time Rodon pitched against Seattle, he didn’t even allow a single run. I am not sure the Mariners are going to be any better today, and with Yusei Kikuchi hitting his stride in the show, this game feels like a 2-1 type of contest that stays well under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Over 8.5 Runs (-110)

Will the Arizona Diamondbacks extend their record for the longest road losing streak in MLB history today in San Diego? The books sure seem to think so, as the Padres are laying (-315) one of the steepest money lines of the season. Arizona hasn’t won a game on the road since April, and for those of you without a calendar handy, it is now almost July! It’s almost like the DBacks didn’t want to even try and win this game when they decided to start Corbin Martin, as this kid has made 4 starts this season, and they have lost all 4 games. When Martin has pitched, opposing teams are averaging a whopping 8.5 runs per game! And none of those teams he has faced are as good as the Padres are at home when it comes to swinging the bat. Padres starter Chris Paddack has actually been pretty bad against the DBacks this season, with an 0-2 record and 4.82 ERA, so he is almost certain to give up at least a couple of runs as well, and this total feels far too low! Don’t be shocked if this one sails to the over in the first 3 innings in what could end up being a super high scoring affair.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Under 10.5 Runs (-110)

I don’t like Drew Smyly very much, but he has pitched fairly well this month, and you already know how I feel about Reds starter Vladimir Gutierrez, as I think he has a bright future pitching in the Big Leagues. Both of these teams have a lot of pop at the plate, but a total this high is generally reserved for games at Coors Field or Fenway Park, or games between a couple of out of contention teams with bums on the mound. That just isn’t the case in this game, and I am not sure how the books came up with this number, as it is at least a full run too high, and you could argue it is even further off. You are always playing with fire taking the under in Braves or Reds games, as they can both put lots of balls in the stands, but I am going to take advantage of this inflated number and jump on the under today in Cincinnati.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox Under 7.5 Runs -110
  • Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Over 8.5 Runs -110
  • Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Under 10.5 Runs -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (+107)

The Boston Red Sox have done a remarkable job of winning games as underdogs this season. Boston is 20-12 in games where they are getting juice, which is the 3rd best record in the game as underdogs. It is getting harder and harder to find spots to back Boston as dogs, as they are piling up the wins, and the books are pricing them accordingly. And to be completely honest, I understand why the Yankees are favored in this game. Domingo German has pitched well this season, and Martin Perez has been pretty awful at Fenway Park. But the Yankees have struggled against AL East opponents this season, and when they hosted the Red Sox in NYC earlier this month, they got swept in 3 games. I am going into this bet with my eyes wide open, understanding the appeal of a play on New York, but I will fade the public and jump on the other side and make my play on the Red Sox.

Washington Nationals (+125) at Miami Marlins

Are the Washington Nationals good? I am on the fence on the Nat’s long-term, but right now, you can’t deny the fact that Washington is playing great. The Nationals have won 10 of their last 11 games, and after a slow start to their season, they have now climbed all of the way back out of that hole and are now back to .500 on the season. That run has seen Washington jump up into 2nd place in the NL East, and all of the sudden, Washington is part of the playoff conversation right now in the NL. The Marlins season is heading in the opposite direction, as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games as the bats have gone cold for Miami. The Fish are averaging just over 1 run per game on their current 4-game losing streak, and they have scored 3 runs or less in each of their last 7 losses.

Pablo Lopez has been strong this season, but his stellar production just hasn’t led to as many wins as it should have this year for Miami. At home, Lopez has a 1.89 ERA, but he is just 1-3, and the Marlins are 3-5 in his 8 home starts. Washington starter Jon Lester struggled in May, but he has things moving in the right direction here in June, with a 2.61 ERA, and he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 5 straight starts. On the one hand, we have one team that is in free fall in the Marlins, against another team that is on fire in Washington. I love being able to back the Nats as fairly big underdogs. Pablo Lopez will pitch well, but it won’t matter, as Miami just can’t score right now. Give me the Nats.

Kansas City Royals (+107) at Texas Rangers

I am a big fan of Dane Dunning. I think that eventually, this guy is going to be an All-Star, but right now, all he does is lose. Dunning has had more than his fair share of strong outings, but the Rangers are just too bad to ever win no matter what Dunning has been able to do. Texas is 1-12 in his last 13 starts, including losses in his last 8 outings. At home, Dunning has a 2.50 ERA, but Texas is just 2-5 in his 7 starts in Arlington. This bet is basically just a fade of Dunning and the Rangers, as the Royals aren’t very good either, but Mike Minor gives me some confidence in Kanas City as well. Minor hasn’t allowed more than 1 earned run in his last 3 road starts, and each of those starts came against playoff-caliber teams in the Rays, White Sox, and Red Sox. If Minor can shut down teams that actually win games, I expect big things out of him today against the last place Rangers. Sorry Dane Dunning, you will have your day in the sun someday, but right now, you shouldn’t be favored, no matter who you are pitching against.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Boston Red Sox +107
  • Washington Nationals +125
  • Kansas City Royals +107

$100 Bet Pays $965

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Cleveland Indians (+110) at Minnesota Twins

I don’t know where the Minnesota Twins found Danny Coulombe, but I am shocked to see that he is somehow a favorite today in his first outing of the season and the first start of his MLB career. Coulombe is a career journeyman that spent most of his career pitching out of the bullpen for the Oakland Athletics and has pitched just 2.2 innings since 2018. Cleveland will start Cal Quantrill, who has also mostly pitched in relief in his career, but unlike Coulombe, who is 31 years old and on his way out of the majors, Quantrill is an up and comer that is expected to eventually develop into a middle or top of the rotation starter. Quantrill’s 1st start of the season didn’t go well, but in his last 3 outings, he has worked a combined 11 innings and allowed just 1 earned run. Just like Dane Dunning and the Rangers shouldn’t be favored against anybody right now, the Minnesota Twins are a mess and should never be laying wood against anybody with a guy like Coulombe starting, let alone against a playoff contender like the Cleveland Indians.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs (-136)

We already touched on this game a bit above, and until the DBacks give even a partial effort on the road, I am going to keep fading them every chance that I get. I can honestly say this will be the most wood I have ever laid on a home team on the run line, but it still somehow also feels like a steal. Why you ask? Well, I have never seen the books give this big of a discount to lay that run and a half in a game. Ever. We are getting almost a -200 discount to take the Padres on the run line, and it is like the books are begging us to take it. Normally I don’t like falling into the book’s trap like this, but if they are going to give away the world, I guess I’ll bite. San Diego is 7-0 on this current homestand, and they won 5 of those games by multiple runs. During this run of all-time road futility that has seen Arizona lose 23 straight road games, they have lost 20 of them by multiple runs. This is a run of ugly we have just never seen before, and I am going to keep firing hard against the DBacks until they field a respectable lineup.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (-182)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are officially slumping. LA has lost 4 straight games, which put their hot streak where they went 12-2 prior to this skid, firmly to rest. I think this recent rough run has affected this line, as the Dodgers should be heavier favorites than this against the Cubs, as Chicago has a losing record on the road this season, and the Dodgers have been really good at home. Jake Arietta has been atrocious on the road, with a 6.51 ERA, and the Cubs have lost 4 of his last 5 starts overall. The Dodgers are too good to struggle for too long, and this game is a perfect spot for them to stop the bleeding on this losing streak and get back into the win column.

Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-165) at Detroit Tigers

The Houston Astros aren’t just winning games, they are destroying teams. No team in the game has won by a higher average margin of victory than Houston, and they are making blowing games out a regular occurrence. You will very rarely see me lay this much juice in a game, even straight up, let alone on the run line, but taking Houston on the run line has been free money. Framber Valdez has made 5 starts this season after getting a late start to his year due to injury, and he has been remarkable. The schedule certainly didn’t do any favors for Valdez, as he has faced the Twins, White Sox, Red Sox (twice), and Padres, some of the hard-hitting teams in the game, and he has dominated all of them, to the tune of a 1.67 ERA. In his last 3 outings, the Astros are 3-0 with a run differential of +21. Yesterday the Astros beat the Tigers 12-3, and it feels like this game could be a very similar outcome. Houston is 15-2 in the last couple of weeks, and of those 15 wins, all but 1 of them came by multiple runs. I am sticking with the hot hand and backing Houston on the run line.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Cleveland Indians +110
  • San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs -136
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -182
  • Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -165

$100 Bet Pays $907

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray

Content covered on TSG: Blog and News

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for almost 20 years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Currently, Gray has transitioned out of gaming management to casino operations. One day, he may just own a casino. Jason has been with TheSportsGeek for over six years and loves to share his insider experiences and in-depth knowledge through his casino and sports betting content.

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