On Sunday, March 12, the film award season comes to an end with the grandest ceremony of them all – the 95th Academy Awards.
There is typically a correlation between who wins at the earlier awards shows, like the SAG Awards and Golden Globes, with the Oscars. Will we see this trend continue at the 95th Academy Awards?
The best Academy Awards betting sites have odds available for all the major categories receiving awards this Sunday. We will break down the most popular categories and give our predictions on who will win the Oscar.
Where To Watch The 2023 Academy Awards
There are several convenient options for watching the Academy Awards this year. The 95th Academy Awards are broadcasted live at 8:00 p.m. EST on ABC1. Streaming options include YouTube TV, AT&T TV, ABC app, and Hulu + Live2.
Academy Awards Betting Odds 2023
All Academy Awards betting odds are courtesy of Bovada.
2023 Academy Awards Best Actor Odds
Actor | Odds |
---|---|
Brendan Fraser (The Whale) | -155 |
Austin Butler (Elvis) | +110 |
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) | +1200 |
Paul Mescal (Aftersun) | +4500 |
Bill Nighy (Living) | +6000 |
The 95th Academy Awards Best Actor odds suggest that we have a two-man race between Brendan Fraser and Austin Butler. This is consistent with what we have seen in previous awards shows this year.
Fraser and Butler have battled it out for the Best Actor award at several ceremonies leading up to the Academy Awards. Butler won the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture/Drama in January3. He followed that up a month later, at the BAFTA Awards in London, with a win over Colin Farrell and Fraser4.
Butler’s performance as Elvis Presley in the film has been widely regarded as one of the best in Hollywood over the last year. Fraser has been recognized for his outstanding work in The Whale, as well.
The star of the Mummy franchise won the SAG Award for Best Actor a few weeks ago5. He also captured a Critic Choice Award for his performance as the depressed, Charlie, in The Whale6.
Featuring Brendan Fraser pic.twitter.com/dlLnQAeSZJ
— Cinema Tweets (@CinemaTweets1) February 27, 2023
Oscars Prediction
Butler does not look like Elvis Presley. In fact, there are other actors that would have looked closer to him, but would they have owned this performance like Butler? Probably not.
He brought Elvis to life in a way that will be hard to duplicate in the future. Harry Styles auditioned to play the role, and fortunately, they got it right by casting Butler7.
Fraser’s powerful performance in The Whale is hard to ignore, though. Fraser plays Charlie, a depressed individual that allows his weight and health to unravel.
After isolating himself from the world and his family, Charlie hopes to renew a relationship with his daughter. The emotional effort has been a comeback story of sorts for Fraser.
Expect everything to come full circle for Fraser at the 95th Academy Awards. The SAG Awards are regarded as the best predictor for the Oscars.
After winning a SAG for The Whale, Fraser collects another huge award on Sunday night.
2023 Academy Awards Best Actress Odds
Actress | Odds |
---|---|
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) | -160 |
Cate Blanchett (TAR) | +120 |
Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie) | +2500 |
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) | +3300 |
Ana de Armas (Blonde) | +6600 |
The 95th Academy Awards Best Actress odds are like the men. We have a race between two women on the Academy Awards odds boards at Bovada.
Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett will once again battle for an award as they have done the last few months. Everything Everywhere All at Once has been well-represented during awards season and they are looking to sweep at the Academy Awards.
While a sweep might be difficult, they are going to do incredibly well. Yeoh’s leading role in Everything Everywhere All at Once has already been recognized numerous times.
Yeoh won the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a musical or comedy two months back8. She returned at the SAG Awards to win9, and then did it again with a win for Best Actress at the Independent Spirit Awards10.
Blanchett’s role as Lydia Tar in TAR has not gone unnoticed, though. She won the BAFTA for leading actress in London11. Can Blanchett pull off a small upset over Yeoh?
Michelle Yeoh’s preparation for Everything Everywhere All at Once. Just AMAZING. pic.twitter.com/XPiOTzb3f1
— Brian Rowe (@mrbrianrowe) March 3, 2023
Oscars Prediction
Blanchett was terrific in her portrayal of an egotistical, self-centered, and narcissistic orchestra conductor in TAR. In a film that is entirely based on Tar’s personality, Blanchett makes it work.
If Tar’s character is not cast properly, we are not talking about this movie. Blanchett is the driving force of TAR. Everyone can agree that the film does not get this recognition without Blanchett.
Yeoh’s character, Evelyn Quan Wang, goes on a wild adventure through an infinite multiverse to save the world. Yeoh is not the only standout performer in the film, but she is excellent in the leading role.
What happened at the SAG Awards is the best indicator as to what will happen here. Look for Yeoh to add an Oscar to her long list of awards over the past few months.
2023 Academy Awards Best Supporting Actor Odds
Actor | Odds |
---|---|
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) | -4000 |
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) | +1200 |
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) | +1800 |
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) | +1800 |
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) | +4000 |
The biggest lock of the Academy Awards odds must be Ke Huy Quan for Best Supporting Actor.
Barring some unforeseeable upset, Quan is in a league of his own in this category. There is faint hope for Barry Keoghan, who unexpectedly stole the show in The Banshees of Inisherin.
The Irish actor is up against a juggernaut in this category. Quan has been cleaning up for his role as Waymond Wang during awards season. His two biggest scores include a Golden Globe12 and SAG Award.
Quan became the first Asian male actor to win a SAG Award since the first event in 199413. The next most likely step is an Oscar for Quan.
Ke Huy Quan is a national treasure. #SAGAwards2023 #KeHuyQuan pic.twitter.com/Z4tzxsGqaF
— SAG Awards® (@SAGawards) February 27, 2023
Oscars Prediction
Quan and Yeoh worked well together as husband and wife in Everything Everywhere All at Once. The chemistry between the two award-winning stars was undeniable.
We hope to see these two working together again soon. For now, Quan and Yeoh can celebrate winning Oscars together on Sunday night.
Despite there being no betting value on Quan’s Oscars odds at -4000, he is the only logical pick to win the Best Supporting Actor Oscar.
2023 Academy Awards Best Supporting Actress Odds
Actress | Odds |
---|---|
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) | +120 |
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) | +160 |
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) | +225 |
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) | +2500 |
Hong Chau (The Whale) | +3500 |
There are two actresses from Everything Everywhere All at Once nominated to win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress.
Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu are both listed on the Academy Awards odds, with Curtis the favorite to win.
The race is so close in this category that every actress has Oscars odds of plus money to win. Kerry Condon should not be overlooked, either.
Curtis and Bassett were both nominated for outstanding supporting actress at the SAG Awards. In a stunning upset, Curtis edged out the favored Bassett14.
Bassett won a Golden Globe15 and Critics Choice Award16 for her role as Ramonda. She can easily win her third award for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever at the Academy Awards.
Curtis, the star of the Halloween series, is nominated for an Oscar for the first time in her decades-long career. Will she also win her first Oscar at the 95th Academy Awards?
The odds did not have her winning a SAG Award. Following the win, her odds to win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress catapulted to the top.
Oscars Prediction
While everyone focuses on the race between Curtis and Bassett, there is a dark horse lurking in this category. If we are talking about who is most deserving of their performance, it must be Condon.
The 40-year-old Irish actress won a BAFTA for supporting actress this past February17. Her performance as Siobhan, the sister of Farrell’s character, Padraic, is the best in The Banshees of Inisherin.
Condon’s Academy Award betting odds suggest that she has better than a puncher’s chance to win here. We are going to take a shot on Condon to win at this price as she pulls off the mild upset over Curtis and Bassett.
2023 Academy Awards Best Director Odds
Director | Odds |
---|---|
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once) | -1000 |
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) | +500 |
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) | +2200 |
Todd Field (TAR) | +2200 |
Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness) | +6000 |
The 95th Academy Awards odds for the Best Director features an impressive list of film directors. According to the Oscars betting odds, there is only one that has a realistic chance of winning, though.
Okay, two, because Everything Everywhere All at Once is a team between Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert. The Daniels have been no strangers to winning awards for their effort on this film.
Kwan and Scheinert are coming off two wins at the Directors Guild Awards and Independent Spirit Awards. After snatching up a DGA last month18, the Daniels won an Independent Spirit Award for Best Director more recently19.
There is a threat from Steven Spielberg to upset the Daniels. Spielberg did an Oscar-worthy job with The Fabelmans. It is one of the most underappreciated films that has received nominations at the 95th Academy Awards.
At +2200, Martin McDonagh and Todd Field are well behind the favorite. These Oscars odds are a little high. Neither director is getting much respect from oddsmakers, but might have a better chance to win than +2200.
Hollywood is gearing up for the 2023 Academy Awards with Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert being nominated for Best Director category along with Todd Field and Steven Spielberg #Oscars95 pic.twitter.com/ABih3zZyTg
— Reuters (@Reuters) March 1, 2023
Oscars Prediction
Kwan and Scheinert put a lot of work into Everything Everywhere All at Once. There is so much going on in this film at the same time. It most certainly was not a linear process to put the final product in place.
The staggering number of nominations that this film has received during Awards season reflects what Kwan and Scheinert were able to accomplish. Look for the betting favorite to easily win the Oscar for the Best Director category.
2023 Academy Awards Best Picture Odds
Film | Odds |
---|---|
Everything Everywhere All at Once | -1250 |
All Quiet on the Western Front | +1200 |
The Banshees of Inisherin | +1400 |
Top Gun: Maverick | +2200 |
The Fabelmans | +3000 |
TAR | +5000 |
Elvis | +10000 |
Avatar: The Way of Water | +15000 |
Triangle of Sadness | +20000 |
Women Talking | +20000 |
The 95th Academy Awards Best Picture odds feature ten nominations. There are several quality films on the Best Picture nominations list, but only one can win.
The Best Picture category is regarded as the top award at the Academy Awards. According to the oddsmakers at Bovada, and public consensus, Everything Everywhere All at Once (-1250) will run away with the Oscar for Best Picture.
Everything Everywhere All at Once is coming off a big win at the SAG Awards for best cast. Along with the top prize at the SAG Awards, Everything Everywhere All at Once won three other awards20.
Is there a long shot worth considering for the Best Picture award at the Academy Awards? The Fabelmans at +3000 might be the best value out of the underdogs. If you want to back a long shot, it might be your best bet.
i got to see a fancy pants screening (thanks @A24 +@DavisTheater 😀) of @Daniels film #EverythingEverywhere All at Once last week. if ever there were a time for a kung fu action film that ruminates on combating nihilism and hopelessness it is now. super nourishing! ❤️👊 pic.twitter.com/58XeWEonxq
— Lilly Wachowski (@lilly_wachowski) March 29, 2022
Oscars Prediction
The sci-fi adventure comedy is going to bring home top honors at the Academy Awards in 2023. There is a little bit of everything for everyone in the film.
It is silly enough to keep comedy fans entertained while staying true to its plot as an adventure flick. The subtle influences from the Matrix must be appreciated, too.
With a win for Best Picture at the Academy Awards, Everything Everywhere All at Once will complete a magical and unpredictable ride to the top of the film industry on Sunday.
Sources
The Oscars 2023 | 95th Academy Awards | ABC. Retrieved From https://abc.com/shows/oscars
How To Watch The Oscars | Oscar. Retrieved From https://www.oscars.org/how-to-watch/
Golden Globes: Austin Butler Wins Best Actor in a Drama for ‘Elvis’ | Variety. Retrieved From https://variety.com/2023/awards/news/austin-butler-golden-globes-best-actor-drama-1235482471/
LEADING ACTOR – AUSTIN BUTLER | BAFTA. Retrieved From https://www.bafta.org/film/awards/leading-actor-5
Brendan Fraser Wins Best Actor at the 2023 SAG Awards | Vanity Fair. Retrieved From https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2023/02/awards-insider-brendan-fraser-sag-best-actor
‘The Whale’ Brendan Fraser Gives Emotional Speech At Critics Choice Awards | Deadline. Retrieved From https://deadline.com/2023/01/the-whale-brendan-fraser-emotional-speech-critics-choice-awards-best-actor-win-1235223228/
Harry Styles auditioned to play Elvis in Baz Luhrmann’s new biopic | Rolling Stone UK. Retrieved From https://www.rollingstone.co.uk/film/news/harry-styles-auditioned-to-play-elvis-in-baz-luhrmanns-new-biopic-17274/
Michelle Yeoh Accepts Golden Globe for ‘Everything Everywhere’ | Rolling Stone. Retrieved From https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/golden-globes-2023-michelle-yeoh-accepts-everything-everywhere-1234658997/
Michelle Yeo Wins Tight SAG Best-Actres Race | Vanity Fair. Retrieved From https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2023/02/michelle-yeoh-sag-award-best-actress
‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ Sweeps 2023 Spirit Awards | The Hollywood Reporter. Retrieved From https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/2023-spirit-awards-highlights-recap-1235340905/
LEADING ACTRESS – CATE BLANCHETT | BAFTA. Retrieved From https://www.bafta.org/film/awards/leading-actress-4
Ke Huy Quan | Golden Globes. Retrieved From https://www.goldenglobes.com/person/ke-huy-quan
Ke Huy Quan Is First Asian Male to Win SAG Supporting Actor | Variety. Retrieved From https://variety.com/2023/awards/awards/ke-huy-quan-first-asian-male-winner-sag-supporting-actor-1235535356/
Jamie Lee Curtis Wins SAG Award, Remembers Parents in Emotional Acceptance Speech | People. Retrieved From https://people.com/movies/sag-awards-2023-jamie-lee-curtis-wins-supporting-actress/
Angela Bassett | Golden Globes. Retrieved From https://www.goldenglobes.com/person/angela-bassett
Angela Bassett Wins Best Supporting Actress at Critics Choice Awards | People. Retrieved From https://people.com/movies/critics-choice-2023-angela-bassett-wins-best-supporting-actress/
BAFTA Winner Kerry Condon is The Banshee of Inisherin’s secret MVP | GQ Magazine. Retrieved From https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/culture/article/kerry-condon-bafta-win-banshees-of-inisherin-2023
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert Win DGA Award for ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ | The New York Times. Retrieved From https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/19/movies/dga-oscars-daniel-kwan-daniel-scheinert.html
Before Oscats, ‘Everything Everywhere’ dominates Independent Spirit Awards | The Globe and Mail. Retrieved From https://www.theglobeandmail.com/arts/article-before-oscars-everything-everywhere-dominates-independent-spirit/
Everything Everywhere All at Once Wins Best Cast SAG Award | The Hollywood Reporter. Retrieved From https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/everything-everywhere-all-at-once-sag-award-best-cast-1235334970/